Category: Tropical Storms
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June 18th, 2021, Buoy Data Analysis
The data available from the buoys is telling the strongest winds (sustained:20 knots, gusts:30 knots) are around the mouth of the Mississippi. According to NHC/NOAA, the most likely path will take the center of circulation right over Houma. However, with no eye, and the disturbance only generating a broad, loosely-organized rotation, it would be difficult…
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Bay of Campeche Disturbance
Basically, it’s too early to tell. The consensus is to check back on Wednesday. There is an area of weak high pressure in the central portion of the Gulf preventing rapid development. However, living in SELA, we don’t need rapid development to find ourselves in trouble. My recommendation is not to freak out, but just…
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Key Messages: 1. Life-threatening storm surge and dangerous winds are expected within portions of the northern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico during the next few hours. Now is the time to be in your storm shelter. 2. Heavy rainfall will affect portions of western Cuba and the northern Yucatan Peninsula through early Thursday. This rainfall could…
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Oct. 1, 2020, Morning Update: Time to watch the gulf again
[insert page=’resources/atlantic-tropical-outlook’ display=’content’ public] As you can see in the map above, we’ve got two areas of concern in the Caribbean Sea heading our way. 1. Showers and thunderstorms located over the west-central Caribbean Sea are associated with a tropical wave. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form in a day or…