Category: 2021
-
2021 Ida – Now Projected Cat 3 – 8 am, Thursday, 26 Aug 2021
There is a lot of data needing to be digested in the creation of this report and more will be available as the storm progresses to the North-Central Gulf Coast. The upshot: Terrebonne Parish will likely be ground zero for the path of a Category 3 hurricane. The scientific discussions (link) and several models suggest…
-
2021 Atlantic Storm Ida
Click on the link to access the most current information and contents. Updates are posted shortly after they are released at 4 and 10 am/pm for the duration of the storm. I will be tracking and analyzing 2021 Ida as it approaches using some methods I’ve been working on. The tracks from the NHC have…
-
June 18th, 2021, Buoy Data Analysis
The data available from the buoys is telling the strongest winds (sustained:20 knots, gusts:30 knots) are around the mouth of the Mississippi. According to NHC/NOAA, the most likely path will take the center of circulation right over Houma. However, with no eye, and the disturbance only generating a broad, loosely-organized rotation, it would be difficult…
-
June 16th, 2021 – Morning Update
There aren’t many differences from yesterday to this morning. NOAA is expecting the disturbance to be named on Friday. The pathway is the same: meandering up the coast until it becomes an issue for the northern GoM coast on late Thursday or overnight into Friday. No solid information on intensification forecast. The weak high pressure…
-
June 15th, Morning Outlook
The weather map looks terrible, but things don’t seem to be that bad. For one, there is a weak high pressure system hanging out in the central GoM until “Mid-Week,” according to NOAA. I understand that tomorrow is “hump day” and thus, mid-week. But, if you look at the satellite imagery the central portion of…