Category: Atlantic

  • June 16th, 2021 – Morning Update

    There aren’t many differences from yesterday to this morning. NOAA is expecting the disturbance to be named on Friday. The pathway is the same: meandering up the coast until it becomes an issue for the northern GoM coast on late Thursday or overnight into Friday. No solid information on intensification forecast. The weak high pressure…

  • June 15th, Morning Outlook

    The weather map looks terrible, but things don’t seem to be that bad. For one, there is a weak high pressure system hanging out in the central GoM until “Mid-Week,” according to NOAA. I understand that tomorrow is “hump day” and thus, mid-week. But, if you look at the satellite imagery the central portion of…

  • Bay of Campeche Disturbance

    Basically, it’s too early to tell. The consensus is to check back on Wednesday. There is an area of weak high pressure in the central portion of the Gulf preventing rapid development. However, living in SELA, we don’t need rapid development to find ourselves in trouble. My recommendation is not to freak out, but just…

  • Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico

    Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL 318 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021 Offshore Waters Forecast for the Gulf of Mexico Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be more than twice the…

  • Key Messages: 1. Life-threatening storm surge and dangerous winds are expected within portions of the northern Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico during the next few hours. Now is the time to be in your storm shelter. 2. Heavy rainfall will affect portions of western Cuba and the northern Yucatan Peninsula through early Thursday. This rainfall could…